{"id":3811,"date":"2025-08-08T13:23:59","date_gmt":"2025-08-08T08:23:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/2023-2025-development-of-a-model-for-predicting-the-behavior-of-the-high-energy-electron-fluence-at-geostationary-orbit\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T16:21:02","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T11:21:02","slug":"2023-2025-development-of-a-model-for-predicting-the-behavior-of-the-high-energy-electron-fluence-at-geostationary-orbit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/2023-2025-development-of-a-model-for-predicting-the-behavior-of-the-high-energy-electron-fluence-at-geostationary-orbit\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-2025 | Development of a model for predicting the behavior of the high-energy electron fluence at geostationary orbit"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u0418\u0420\u041d<\/strong> AP19678078<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Deadlines:<\/strong> 2023-2025.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Project Leader:<\/strong> \u041a\u0440\u044f\u043a\u0443\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u041e.\u041d., \u043a.\u0444.-\u043c.\u043d.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Project goal:<\/strong> Development of a model for the behavior of the fluence of high-energy electrons with energy &gt;&gt; 2 MeV in geostationary orbit for different levels of solar activity and determination of the main patterns of behavior of various parameters of near-Earth and interplanetary medium during electron enhancements, depending on solar sources.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Project Tasks<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p>Method for achieving the project objective: comprehensive studies of the behavior of high-energy magnetospheric electrons with energies &gt;2 MeV, the intensity of galactic cosmic rays, and interplanetary medium parameters, based on solving logically interconnected, sequential tasks:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Task 1 (2023) \u2013 Investigate the averaged behavior of high-energy magnetospheric electrons and parameters of the near-Earth and interplanetary medium during periods of electron enhancements caused by various types of solar sources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Task 2 (2024) \u2013 To study the diurnal variation of the flux of magnetospheric electrons with energy &gt;2 MeV at geostationary orbit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Task 3 (2025) \u2013 Develop a model for the behavior of the fluence of high-energy magnetospheric electrons with energy &gt;2 MeV at geostationary orbit for various levels of solar activity.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Expected results<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p>2023: Averaged behavior of high-energy magnetospheric electrons and parameters of the interplanetary and near-Earth medium during periods of electron enhancements caused by various types of solar sources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2024: Peculiarities of diurnal variation in the flux of magnetospheric electrons with energy &gt;2 MeV at geostationary orbit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2025: A fluence behavior model for high-energy magnetospheric electrons with energy &gt;2 MeV at geostationary orbit for various levels of solar activity.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Results Obtained<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p>2023: The average behavior of high-energy magnetospheric electrons and parameters of the interplanetary and near-Earth environment during electron enhancements caused by high-speed solar wind streams from coronal holes and by coronal mass ejections was calculated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2024: The specific features of the diurnal variation of the magnetospheric electron flux with energies &gt;2 MeV at geostationary orbit from different solar sources were identified. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2025: A model was developed to describe the behavior of the fluence of high-energy magnetospheric electrons with energies &gt;2 MeV at geostationary orbit for different levels of solar.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Project Publications<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p>Paper:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; non-CIS countries:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2023:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1. Kryakunova O., Belov A., Seifullina B., Abunina M., Abunin, A. Tsepakina I., Shlyk N., Nurakynov S., Nikolayevskiy N. Behavior of galactic cosmic rays density and vector anisotropy before and during high-energy magnetospheric electron flux enhancements \/\/ Cosmic ray studies with neutron detectors. NMDB@Athens: Proceedings of the hybrid symposium on cosmic ray studies with neutron detectors. \u2013 2023. \u2013 Vol.2. \u2013 P.89-96. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.38072\/2748-3150\/p34\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.38072\/2748-3150\/p34<\/a> (in english)    <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2. Butikofer R, Gil-\u015awiderska A., Klein K.-L., Kryakunova O., Laurenza M., Mavromichalaki H., Ruffolo D., Sapundjiev D., Steigies C.T., Strauss D.T. NMDB@Athens. Hybrid symposium on cosmic ray studies with neutron detectors \/\/ Cosmic ray studies with neutron detectors. NMDB@Athens: Proceedings of the hybrid symposium on cosmic ray studies with neutron detectors. \u2013 2023. \u2013 Vol.2. \u2013 P.9-13. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.38072\/2748-3150\/p26\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.38072\/2748-3150\/p26<\/a> (in english)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>3. Kryakunova O., Belov A., Seifullina B., Abunina M., Abunin, A. Tsepakina I., Shlyk N., Nurakynov S., Nikolayevskiy N. Behavior of galactic cosmic rays density and vector anisotropy before and during high-energy magnetospheric electron flux enhancements \/\/ Cosmic ray studies with neutron detectors. NMDB@Athens: Proceedings of the hybrid symposium on cosmic ray studies with neutron detectors. \u2013 2023. \u2013 Vol.2. \u2013 P.89-96. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.38072\/2748-3150\/p34\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.38072\/2748-3150\/p34<\/a> (in english)    <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8211; CIS countries:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>4. Seifullina B.B., Kryakunova O.N., Tsepakina I.L., Belov A.V., Abunin A.A., Abunina M.A. Analysis of the extremely hazardous enhancement of magnetospheric electrons on 26 August \u2013 4 September 2018 \/\/ Proceedings of the XV International Conference of Young Scientists and Students \u201cModern Techniques and Technologies in Scientific Research\u201d. \u2013 2023. \u2013 P. 160\u2013164. (RSCI). \u2013 <a href=\"http:\/\/mmk.gdirc.kg\/news\/58\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">http:\/\/mmk.gdirc.kg\/news\/58\/<\/a> (in russian)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2025:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>5. Kryakunova O.N., Seifullina B.B., Tsepakina I.L., Shlyk N.S., Abunin A.A., Abunina M.A., Belov A.V., Nikolayevskiy N.F. On solar sources of interplanetary disturbances leading to high-energy magnetospheric electron enhancements in geostationary orbit \/\/ Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. \u2013 2025. \u2013 Vol.   541. \u2013 No. 1. \u2013 P. 2558-2570. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/mnras\/staf850\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/mnras\/staf850<\/a> (Web ofScience Q1,IF 5.2, Scopus percentile90) (in english)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>6. Koychubaev R.Ye. Comparative analysis of software reliability assurance methods in space systems \/\/ Bulletin of the Almaty University of Power Engineering and Telecommunications. \u2013 2025. \u2013 Vol. 68. \u2013 No. 1. (CQASE) \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.51775\/2790-0886_2025_68_1_202\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.51775\/2790-0886_2025_68_1_202<\/a> (in russian)     <\/p>\n<\/details>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[300,292],"tags":[301],"class_list":["post-3811","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-completed-projects","category-projects","tag-ap19678078-en"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3811","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3811"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3811\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3812,"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3811\/revisions\/3812"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3811"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3811"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ionos.kz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3811"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}